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In addition, some argue that we are already in the midst of a major evolutionary transition that merges technology, biology, and society. Digital technology has infiltrated the fabric of human society to a degree of indisputable and often life-sustaining dependence. A 2016 article in Trends in Ecology Evolution argues that humans already embrace fusions of biology and technology. We spend most of our waking time communicating through digitally mediated channels.

we trust artificial intelligence with our lives through antilock braking in cars and autopilots in planes. With one in three marriages in America beginning online, digital algorithms are also taking a role in human pair bonding and reproduction. The article further argues that from the perspective of the evolution, several previous Major Transitions in Evolution have transformed life through innovations in information storage and replication RNA, DNA, multicellularity, and culture and language.

In the current stage of life s evolution, the carbon-based biosphere has generated a cognitive system humans capable of creating technology that will result in a comparable evolutionary transition. 5 years, reaching about 5 zettabytes in 2014 5 10 iq option katsu bytes. The digital information created by humans has reached a similar magnitude to biological information in the biosphere. Since the 1980s, the quantity of digital information stored has doubled about every 2.

2 billion nucleotides. In biological terms, there are 7. Since one byte can encode four nucleotide pairs, the individual genomes of every human on the planet could be encoded by approximately 1 10 19 bytes. The digital realm stored 500 times more information than this in 2014 see figure. The total amount of DNA contained in all of the cells on Earth is estimated to be about 5. 3 10 37 base pairs, equivalent to 1. 325 10 37 bytes of information.

2 billion humans on the planet, each having a genome of 6. If growth in digital storage continues at its current rate of 30 38 compound annual growth per year, 39 it will rival the total information content contained in all of the DNA in all of the cells on Earth in about 110 years. In February 2009, under the auspices of the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence AAAIEric Horvitz chaired a meeting of leading computer scientists, artificial intelligence researchers and roboticists at Asilomar in Pacific Grove, California.

The goal was to discuss the potential impact of the hypothetical possibility that robots could become self-sufficient and able to make their own decisions. This would represent a doubling of the amount of information stored in the biosphere across a total time period of just 150 years. Implications for human society Edit. They discussed the extent to which computers and robots might be able to acquire autonomy, and to what degree they could use such abilities to pose threats or hazards.

Some machines are programmed with various forms of semi-autonomy, including the ability to locate their own power sources and choose targets to attack with weapons. Also, some computer viruses can evade elimination and, according to scientists in attendance, could therefore be said to have reached a cockroach stage of machine intelligence. The conference attendees noted that self-awareness as depicted in science-fiction is probably unlikely, but that other potential hazards and pitfalls exist.

Robinson predicts that once humans achieve a machine with the intelligence of a human, scientific and technological problems will be tackled and solved with brainpower far superior to that of humans. He notes that artificial systems are able to share data more directly than humans, and predicts that this would result in a global network of super-intelligence that would dwarf human capability. 89 Robinson also discusses how vastly different the future would potentially look after such an intelligence explosion.

One example of this is solar energy, where the Earth receives vastly more solar energy than humanity captures, so capturing more of that solar energy would hold vast promise for civilizational growth. In a hard takeoff scenario, an AGI rapidly self-improves, taking control of the world perhaps in a matter of hourstoo quickly for significant human-initiated error correction or for a gradual tuning of the AGI s goals. In a soft takeoff scenario, AGI still becomes far more powerful than humanity, but at a human-like pace perhaps on the order of decadeson a timescale where ongoing human interaction and correction can effectively steer the AGI s development.

Ramez Naam argues against a hard takeoff by pointing out that we already see recursive self-improvement by superintelligences, such as corporations. For instance, Intel has the collective brainpower of tens of thousands of humans and probably millions of CPU cores to. design better CPUs. However, this has not led to a hard takeoff; rather, it has led to a soft takeoff in the form of Moore s law. 93 Naam further points out that the computational complexity of higher intelligence may be much greater than linear, such that creating a mind of intelligence 2 is probably more than twice as hard as creating a mind of intelligence 1.

Ben Goertzel agrees with Hall s suggestion that a new human-level AI would do well to use its intelligence to accumulate wealth. The AI s talents might inspire companies and governments to disperse its software throughout society. Hall suggests that rather than recursively self-improving its hardware, software, and infrastructure all on its own, a fledgling AI would be better off specializing in one area where it was most effective and then buying the remaining components on the marketplace, because the quality of products on the marketplace continually improves, and the AI would have a hard time keeping up with the cutting-edge technology used by the rest of the world.

Goertzel is skeptical of a very hard, 5-minute takeoff but thinks a takeoff from human to superhuman level on the order of 5 years is reasonable. He calls this a semihard takeoff. Max More disagrees, arguing that if there were only a few superfast human-level AIs, they wouldn t radically change the world, because they would still depend on other people to get things done and would still have human cognitive constraints. More also argues that a superintelligence would not transform the world overnight, because a superintelligence would need to engage with existing, slow human systems to accomplish physical impacts on the world.

The need for collaboration, for organization, and for putting ideas into physical changes will ensure that all the old rules are not thrown out overnight or even within years. Even if all superfast AIs worked on intelligence augmentation, it s not clear why they would do better in a discontinuous way than existing human cognitive scientists at producing super-human intelligence, although the rate of progress would increase. In his 2005 book, The Singularity is NearKurzweil suggests that medical advances would allow people to protect their bodies from the effects of aging, making the life expectancy limitless.

Storrs Hall believes that many of the more commonly seen scenarios for overnight hard takeoff are circular they seem to assume hyperhuman capabilities at the starting point of the self-improvement process in order for an AI to be able to make the dramatic, domain-general improvements required for takeoff. Kurzweil argues that the technological advances in medicine would allow us to continuously repair and replace defective components in our bodies, prolonging life to an undetermined age.

98 Kurzweil further buttresses his argument by discussing current bio-engineering advances. Kurzweil suggests somatic gene therapy; after synthetic viruses with specific genetic information, the next step would be to apply this technology to gene therapy, replacing human DNA with synthesized genes. Eric Drexler, one of the founders of nanotechnology, postulated cell repair devices, including ones operating within cells and utilizing as yet hypothetical biological machines, in his 1986 book Engines of Creation.

According to Richard Feynman, it was his former graduate student and collaborator Albert Hibbs who originally suggested to him circa 1959 the idea of a medical use for Feynman s theoretical micromachines. Hibbs suggested that certain repair machines might one day be reduced in size to the point that it would, in theory, be possible to as Feynman put it swallow the doctor.

The idea was incorporated into Feynman s 1959 essay There s Plenty of Room at the Bottom. Beyond merely extending the operational life of the physical body, Jaron Lanier argues for a form of immortality called Digital Ascension that involves people dying in the flesh and being uploaded into a computer and remaining conscious. A paper by Mahendra Prasad, published in AI Magazineasserts that the 18th-century mathematician Marquis de Condorcet was the first person to hypothesize and mathematically model an intelligence explosion and its effects on humanity.

An early description of the idea was made in John Wood Campbell Jr. s 1932 short story The last evolution. In his 1958 obituary for John von Neumann, Ulam recalled a conversation with von Neumann about the ever accelerating progress of technology and changes in the mode of human life, which gives the appearance of approaching some essential singularity in the history of the race beyond which human affairs, as we know them, could not continue.

In 1965, Good wrote his essay postulating an intelligence explosion of recursive self-improvement of a machine intelligence. In 1981, Stanisław Lem published his science fiction novel Golem XIV. It describes a military AI computer Golem XIV who obtains consciousness and starts to increase his own intelligence, moving towards personal technological singularity. Golem XIV was originally created to aid its builders in fighting wars, but as its intelligence advances to a much higher level than that of humans, it stops being interested in the military requirement because it finds them lacking internal logical consistency.

In 1983, Vernor Vinge greatly popularized Good s intelligence explosion in a number of writings, first addressing the topic in print in the January 1983 issue of Omni magazine. We will soon create intelligences greater than our own. When this happens, human history will have reached a kind iq option katsu singularity, an intellectual transition as impenetrable as the knotted space-time at the center of a black hole, and the world will pass far beyond our understanding.

In this op-ed piece, Vinge seems to have been the first to use the term singularity in a way that was specifically tied to the creation of intelligent machines 103 104. This singularity, I believe, already haunts a number of science-fiction writers. It makes realistic extrapolation to an interstellar future impossible. To write a story set more than a century hence, one needs a nuclear war in between. so that the world remains intelligible. In 1985, in The Time Scale of Artificial Intelligenceartificial intelligence researcher Ray Solomonoff articulated mathematically the related notion of what he called an infinity point if a research community of human-level self-improving AIs take four years to double their own speed, then two years, then one year and so on, their capabilities increase infinitely in finite time.

Vinge s 1993 article The Coming Technological Singularity How to Survive in the Post-Human Era7 spread widely on the internet and helped to popularize the idea. 106 This article contains the statement, Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence. Shortly after, the human era will be ended. Vinge argues that science-fiction authors cannot write realistic post-singularity characters who surpass the human intellect, as the thoughts of such an intellect would be beyond the ability of humans to express.

In 2000, Bill Joy, a prominent technologist and a co-founder of Sun Microsystems, voiced concern over the potential dangers of the singularity. Kurzweil s publicity campaign included an appearance on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart. In 2005, Kurzweil published The Singularity is Near. In 2007, Eliezer Yudkowsky suggested that many of the varied definitions that have been assigned to singularity are mutually incompatible rather than mutually supporting. In 2009, Kurzweil and X-Prize founder Peter Diamandis announced the establishment of Singularity University, a nonaccredited private institute whose stated mission is to educate, inspire and empower leaders to apply exponential technologies to address humanity s grand challenges.

Good s proposed discontinuous upswing in intelligence and Vinge s thesis on unpredictability. 109 Funded by Google, Autodesk, ePlanet Ventures, and a group of technology industry leaders, Singularity University is based at NASA s Ames Research Center in Mountain View, California. The not-for-profit organization runs an annual ten-week graduate program during summer that covers ten different technology and allied tracks, and a series of executive programs throughout the year.

19 108 For example, Kurzweil extrapolates current technological trajectories past the arrival of self-improving AI or superhuman intelligence, which Yudkowsky argues represents a tension with both I. It predicts significant technological and political changes in the mid-term future, including possible technological singularity. Former President of the United States Barack Obama spoke about singularity in his interview to Wired in 2016 113.

One thing that we haven t talked about too much, and I just want to go back to, is we really have to think through the economic implications. Because most people aren t spending a lot of time right now worrying about singularity they are worrying about Well, is my job going to be replaced by a machine. In 2007, the Joint Economic Committee of the United States Congress released a report about the future of nanotechnology. Hello, we re Tes. We power schools and enable great teaching worldwide, by creating intelligent online products and services to make the greatest difference in education.

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