Бузан искал способ справиться с большим количеством информации, которую ему необходимо было запоминать во время учебы в университете. Он изучил мнения величайших мыслителей, которые он смог найти, и объединил их подходы с собственными исследованиями в области психологии, творческого мышления и запоминания. Визуальное представление информации используется тысячи лет. В дальнейшем, после первых успехов его разработанной техники, он начал писать серию книг на эту тему.
Первое издание книги Супермышление вышло в 1995 году. Этим инструментом был MindMeister, который быстро стал программным обеспечением для создания интеллект-карт номер один в сети. Полезные ссылки. Двенадцать лет спустя, в 2007 году, был реализован первый веб-инструмент для создания интеллект-карт. MindMeister в данный момент считается лучшим онлайн-приложением для майндмэппинга на рынке. С нашей удостоенной наград веб-версией и бесплатными мобильными приложениями для iPhone, iPad и Android, пользователи могут составлять интеллект-карты в школе, дома, в офисе и даже в пути.
Майндмэппинг с MindMeister настолько прост и интуитивно понятен, что каждый от первоклассника до директора компании может использовать его для повышения продуктивности и превращения своих идей в действия. MindMeister предлагает мощный функционал, который позволяет совместно работать и устраивать мозговой штурм онлайн, планировать проекты, разрабатывать бизнес-стратегии, создавать динамические презентации и использовать бесчисленные преимущества интеллект-карт в образовании.
Для этого MindMeister предоставляет хорошие скидки для учителей и учащихся и даже предлагает бесплатные аккаунты с тремя интеллект-картами, которые имеют все необходимые функции для простого, но мощного создания интеллект-карт. Learn about the most common staking methods. Discover why staking methods are important in betting. Staking One method to improve your betting. Find out which staking method is best. There is a strong case to suggest that the amount you bet is actually more important than what you bet on.
Continue reading to discover which is best. We reviewed five popular staking methods. Professional blackjack player and author Ed Thorp was a successful card-counter. Despite his expertise as a professional gambler he published two books on the subject he attributed the majority of his success to a staking formula created by mathematician John Kelly Jr.
Method of calculating the appropriate amount of money to place on a bet for consistent profit making as part of a betting strategy. Playing strategy is maybe a third to a quarter of what you re going to get out of it. Of course, it s easy to say that a betting strategy is important. But what makes a useful strategy in sports betting. With influence from Alex Bellos Alex s Adventures in Numberlandwe mapped the success of five betting strategies over a series of 500 bets. The above graph shows the profits from 500 simulated bets for five betting systems, with the probability of winning at 55 on a Binary bet.
The initial bet for each method was 100 except for the all-in method, which initially bet 1000. Betting strategy may be two thirds or three quarters. Each system started with a 1000 bank, and the simulation continued for each method until the 500th bet or until their bank was minimised. The five systems are outlined below which letter do you think each line corresponds to.
Strategy 1 Bet everything, every time. Bet your entire bankroll on each bet. The advantage is that you get big returns, fast. As soon as you lose, you re out of money and out of the game. As you can see, one betting system provides far greater returns than the others, while one drops you out pretty quickly. Strategy 2 Fixed wager. Bet a fixed amount for each bet, and don t vary no matter how much you win. In this example, it was 100. If your chance of winning 55 on a 2. 000 bet, this method means you ve dramatically reduced your chance of losing your entire stake.
Unfortunately, it means your winnings are limited to increase in a slow and steady fashion. Strategy 3 Martingale. Bet double your stake after any failed bet, to cover your losses with the next bet s winnings. This gives a quicker increase than fixed wagers as you re doubling up to cover any losses. If you experience sequential losses, however, the required stakes continue to double, and you ll very soon be betting large amounts to cover your losses.
Increase your stake in a Fibonacci sequence, to your losses with the next bet s winnings. Strategy 4 Fibonacci. This method has similar drawbacks to Martingale method in sports betting, but it reduces how quickly the stake increases if you re on a losing streak and therefore also reduces the rate at which you win. Strategy 5 Proportional betting. Bet a fraction of your bankroll in proportion to your edge. In this simulation, we used the Kelly Criterion formula for proportional sports betting.
With this method, your bet should be your edge divided by the odds. In this example, as the edge is 10 and the odds are evens, 10 1 is 10. Therefore 10 of the 1000 wallet should be bet 100. Should that bet be successful, the next bet would increase to 110, 10 of the new 1100 wallet. This means winnings increase quicker than in the fixed-wager system, and losses slow down. Which strategy is best. Bet everything. Proportional Betting. As you can tell from the descriptions above, proportional betting appears to have iqoption gale natural advantage over the others systems.
The correct answer is. Imagine you re down to your last 100 you d be betting 10, and decreasingkeeping you in the game for much longer than a fixed-bet system, where your last 100 would be your last bet. Bet everything brings in big gains after the first bet, earning as much in one risk than the others do in the first seven.
The light that burns seven-times as bright burns a thousandth as long, however, the bet everything sports betting strategy is eliminated on just the second round. The chance of making it through 1,000 rounds at 55 is infinitesimally small as to be practically impossible although you would have earned 67 billion by round 27. The simulation shows that different staking techniques have vastly different outcomes, even if the variables stay the same. Fibonacci and Martingale progressive sports betting systems also start strongly, but any big sequence of losses ramp up the required stake.
These defeats totally wiped out both Fibonacci and Martingale s stakes, and at the end of this 11-in-a-row streak the hypothetical Martingale bettor had to bet 403,000 dollars to recuperate his losses. That s a huge amount, considering his maximum purse was just 6,300. For Fibonacci, the maximum bet was 33,500, with his purse reaching its zenith at 4,100 before the wipeout. The only system other than proportional betting to avoid losses was fixed betting, which accrued slow but steady increments.
By R83, fixed betting had increased its purse to 3,400, and afterwards it had only dropped to 2,300. It wasn t out, but there was not a lot to show for 95 bets. The 11-bet losing streak also hit proportional betting pretty hard, reducing its winnings from 7,359 to 2,286 lower than that of fixed betting. In our simulation, at round 83 R83we lost 11 times in a row. This shows how well fixed betting protects your winnings. However, by bet 500, fixed betting had only brought in 6,400, while proportional betting had earned 18,275.
Bettors should note that this is based on a huge assumption that the edge is in your favour, without it the results for all staking strategies would change dramatically. Backing your staking technique. The above simulation shows that different staking techniques have vastly different outcomes, even if the other variables stay the same. The difference between being wiped out and finishing with 18,275 after 500 bets was simply choosing a suitable staking system.
It s important however, to remember that there is no ideal system. Although the Kelly Criterion system worked in the example above, there may be more developed systems for different types of bets. It s important to discover which staking style is suitable to your sports betting, typically through research and simulation. It s also important to remember that the Kelly Criterion system only works if you know your edge, which you use to calculate your stake.
If your calculation of your edge is incorrect, you re still going to have difficulties whatever you do. Read through the rest of our Betting Resources archive to help sharpen your understanding of betting formulas and strategies. Keep up-top-date with more in-depth betting articles by following us on Twitter. Share this article on. Category Betting Strategy Tags Feature Models Staking method. Embed code Affiliate embed. Copy this code to embed the article on your site.
Enter your affiliate tracking code. Boxing betting predictions. UFC Fight Night preview Tyron Woodley vs. Colby Covington. La Liga Predictions. Serie A Predictions. What can bettors learn from pre-season soccer matches. Last Month All time. Premier League Predictions. German Bundesliga Predictions. Outright Premier League betting 2020 21 Premier League preview. How to predict draws in soccer. How to calculate Expected Value.
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Pinnacle is a registered trade mark. Too successful, many would argue, as his ability at the tables of Las Vegas biggest casinos lead to the implementation of multiple decks and the start of a war on card-counting. Online sports betting from Pinnacle bookmakers your premier international sportsbook 2004 2020 Pinnacle. Business Unbound A Vision and New Strategies for the New World of Work. The combination of Cornerstone and Saba creates an iconic leader in talent, with the depth, scale and innovation expertise to deliver more value to our shared customers faster.
Les dernières réflexions sur la façon de développer, d engager et de retenir vos talents. Flash de brillance. Cornerstone s Founder and CEO, Adam Miller, shares more about the Unbound approach, the vision and strategies for the new world of work and what this means for the future of Cornerstone and Saba in a guest blog post. We re two weeks away from Convergence, our all-virtual global conference that will bring together the brightest minds in HR, learning, and development.
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On September 16-17, join the all-new, all-virtual, all-free Cornerstone Convergence as we bring together the brightest minds in HR, learning, and development to explore fresh perspectives for our new world of work. Announcing Cornerstone Convergence Unbound Virtual Conference. Rencontrez nos collaborateurs talentueux. Ils remettront en question votre façon de penser à la gestion des talents. A thoughtful content strategy is crucial for learning. Participez à la conversation. The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic has made this reality even more clear for organizations.
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Decades from now, movies will be made, and features will be written about the year you re currently living in. 2020 is the Year of the HR Generalist. Those features will focus on the events, the problems, the pandemic, the mistakes, and yes the heroes. Over the past several months, we ve been confronted with new challenges. Overcoming these challenges required thinking and acting differently from the norm and it had to happen at lightning speed.
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Also known as the Product Market Expansion Grid. The Ansoff Matrix. There are rewards and risks with growth strategies. Successful leaders understand that if their organization is to grow in the long term, they can t stick with a business as usual mindset, even when things are going well. They need to find new ways to increase profits and reach new customers.
There are numerous options available, such as developing new products or opening up new markets, but how do you know which one will work best for your organization. Understanding the Risks of Different Options. Understanding the Tool. The Ansoff Matrix was developed by H. Igor Ansoff and first published in the Harvard Business Review in 1957, in an article titled Strategies for Diversification.
It has given generations of marketers and business leaders a quick and simple way to think about the risks of growth. This is where you can use an approach like the Ansoff Matrix to think about the potential risks of each option, and to help you devise the most suitable plan for your situation. Sometimes called the Product Market Expansion Grid, the Matrix see figure 1, below shows four strategies you can use to grow. It also helps you analyze the risks associated with each one.
The idea is that each time you move into a new quadrant horizontally or verticallyrisk increases. You can also use the Ansoff Matrix as a personal career planning tool. It can help you weigh up the risks of your career decisions, and choose the best option as a result. Learn more about this with our article on the Personal Ansoff Matrix. Let s examine each quadrant of the Matrix in more detail. Market penetration, in the lower left quadrant, is the safest of the four options.
Figure 1 The Ansoff Matrix. The Corporate Ansoff Matrix. Here, you focus on expanding sales of your existing product in your existing market you know the product works, and the market holds few surprises for you. Product development, in the lower right quadrant, is slightly more risky, because you re introducing a new product into your existing market. With market development, in the upper left quadrant, you re putting an existing product into an entirely new market.
You can do this by finding a new use for the product, or by adding new features or benefits to it. Diversification, in the upper right quadrant, is the riskiest of the four options, because you re introducing a new, unproven product into an entirely new market that you may not fully understand. It s fairly straightforward to use the Ansoff Matrix to weigh up the risks associated with a number of strategic options.
Step 1 Analyze Your Options. Download our free Corporate Ansoff Matrix Worksheet. Then plot the approaches you re considering on the Matrix. The table below helps you think about how you might classify different approaches. Here, you re targeting new markets, or new areas of your existing market. You re trying to sell more of the same things to different people.
Here you might. Target different geographical markets at home or abroad. Conduct a PEST Analysis or use the CAGE Distance Framework to identify opportunities and threats in this different market. Use different sales channels, such as online or direct sales, if you are currently selling through agents or intermediaries. Use Market Segmentation to target different groups of people, perhaps with different age, gender or demographic profiles from your usual customers.
Use the marketing mix to understand how to reposition your product. This strategy is risky there s often little scope for using existing expertise or for achieving economies of scale, because you are trying to sell completely different products or services to different customers. Beyond the opportunity to expand your business, the main advantage of diversification is that, should one business suffer from adverse circumstances, another may not be affected.
Market Penetration Product Development. With this approach, you re trying to sell more of the same things to the same market. Develop a new marketing strategy to encourage more people to choose your product, or to use more of it. Introduce a loyalty scheme. Launch price or other special offer promotions. Market Development Diversification. Increase your sales force s activities. Use the Boston Matrix to decide which products warrant further investment, and which should be disregarded.
Buy a competitor company particularly in mature markets. Here, you re selling different products to the same people, so you might. Develop related products or services. In a service industry, shorten your time to market, or improve customer service or quality. Reprinted by permission of Harvard Business Review. From Strategies for Diversification by H.
Igor Ansoff, 1957. Copyright 1957 by the Harvard Business School Publishing Corporation; all rights reserved. Extend your product by producing different variants, or repackage existing products. Step 2 Manage Risks. Conduct a Risk Analysis to gain a better understanding of the dangers associated with each option. If there are a lot of these, prioritize them using a Risk Impact Probability Chart. Then, create a contingency plan that addresses the ones you re most likely to face.
Step 3 Choose the Best Option. By now, you might have a sense of which option is right for you and your organization. You can make sure it really is the best one with one last step use Decision Matrix Analysis to weigh up the different factors in each option, and make the best choice. Using a Nine-Box Ansoff Matrix. Some marketers use a nine-box grid for a more sophisticated analysis.
This puts modified products between existing and new ones for example, a different flavor of your existing pasta sauce rather than launching a soupand expanded markets between existing and new ones for example, opening another store in a nearby town, rather than expanding internationally. This is useful as it shows the difference between product extension and true product development, and also between market expansion and venturing into genuinely new markets see figure 2, below.
However, be careful of the three options in orange, as they involve trying to do two things at once without the one benefit of a true diversification strategy completely escaping a downturn in a single-product market. Igor Ansoff developed the Ansoff Matrix in 1957. It offers you a simple and useful way to think about growth. The Matrix outlines four possible avenues for growth, which vary in risk.
Market penetration. Product development. Market development. To use the Matrix, plot your options into the appropriate quadrant. Figure 2 The Nine-Box Grid. Next, look at the risks associated with each one, and develop a contingency plan to address the most likely risks. This will help you make the best choice for your organization. The Ansoff Matrix can help you to measure the risk of specific strategies that you may want to implement in positioning yourself in the market. Once you ve decided which strategies you feel would position you best, you can then determine the associated risk using the Ansoff Matrix.
How does an organization grow. This matrix provides a structure that explains four key way to grow your business. No one growth strategy is better than the others - they are different and each works well depending on the situation and circumstances facing the organization. And since strategic growth planning is a dynamic process it s important to understand the main options available and why each is used.
The Ansoff Matrix helps address these issues and is a great place to start your strategic analysis and planning. Developing Your Marketing Strategy. Segmentation, Targeting and Positioning Model. 1957 Strategies for Diversification, Harvard Business ReviewVolume 35, Issue 5, October 1957. From real-time classics to modern turn-based favorites, these are the best strategy games on PC.
Strategy is the quintessential PC genre, keeping us buried in maps, army lists and build orders since the earliest days of PC gaming. And it s one of the most diverse, catering to everyone from hardcore grognards to people who just want to see Gandhi nuke Montezuma. In this list, you ll find everything from fast-paced, competitive RTS games to long burn 4X romps.
If you want history, we ve got it. Yep, a few of them. Fantasy, too. In the case of series with multiple entries, we ve picked what we feel was the best game to play now. We might feature more than one entry from the same series if we think they re different enough that you might benefit from playing both. Grand strategy. Image credit Sega.
Total War Three Kingdoms, the latest historical entry in the series, takes a few nods from Warhammer, which you ll find elsewhere in this list, giving us a sprawling Chinese civil war that s fuelled by its distinct characters, both off and on the battlefield. Each is part of a complicated web of relationships that affects everything from diplomacy to performance in battle, and like their Warhammer counterparts they re all superhuman warriors.
The best strategy games on PC. It feels like a leap for the series in the same way the first Rome did, bringing with it some fundemental changes to how diplomacy, trade and combat works. Since launch, it s also benefited from some great DLC, including a new format that introduces historical bookmarks that expand on different events from the era. The fight over China also makes for a compelling campaign, blessed with a kind of dynamism that we ve not seen in a Total War before.
Crusader Kings 2. Image credit Mr. Crusader Kings 2 is a dynastic strategy game spliced with an elaborate RPG. It s as much about who your imbecilic niece is marrying as it is about leading armies into battle. Every landed character is simulated, and each one has goals and desires. It s complex you can blame the feudal system for that but offers clear and immediate drama on a personal level. Its simulation corners you into desperate situations and encourages you to do terrible things to retain power, like killing off your rubbish child to ensure the smart one takes over when you pop your clogs.
Conveniently, the base game is completely free, but there are a lot of expansions. Total War Warhammer 2. The first Total War Warhammer showed that Games Workshop s fantasy universe was a perfect match for Creative Assembly s massive battles and impressively detailed units. Total War Warhammer 2 makes a whole host of improvements, in interface, tweaks to heroes, rogue armies that mix factions together and more.
The game s four factions, Skaven, High Elves, Dark Elves and Lizardmen are all meaningfully different from iqoption gale another, delving deeper into the odd corners of old Warhammer fantasy lore. If you re looking for a starting point with CA s Warhammer games, this is now the game to get and if you already own the excellent original, too, the mortal empires campaign will unite both games into one giant map. Europa Universalis 4. Image credit Paradox Interactive.
Paradox s long-running, flagship strategy romp is the ultimate grand strategy game, putting you in charge of a nation from the end of the Middle Ages all the way up to the 1800s. As head honcho, you determine its political strategy, meddle with its economy, command its armies and craft an empire. Right from the get-go, Europa Universalis 4 lets you start changing history. Maybe England crushes France in the 100 Years War and builds a massive continental empire. Maybe the Iroquois defeat European colonists, build ships and invade the Old World.
It s huge, complex, and through years of expansions has just kept growing. The simulation can sometimes be tough to wrap one s head around, but it s worth diving in and just seeing where iqoption gale takes you. Civilization 6. You can t have a best strategy games list without a bit of Civ. Civilization 6 is our game of choice in the series right now, especially now that it s seen a couple of expansions.
The biggest change this time around is the district system, which unstacks cities in the way that its predecessor unstacked armies. Cities are now these sprawling things full of specialised areas that force you to really think about the future when you developing tiles. The expansions added some more novel wrinkles that are very welcome but do stop short of revolutionising the venerable series.
They introduce the concept of Golden Ages and Dark Ages, giving you bonuses and debuffs depending on your civilisation s development across the years, as well as climate change and environmental disasters. It s a forward-thinking, modern Civ. Sins of a Solar Empire. Sins of a Solar Empire captures some of the scope of a 4X strategy game but makes it work within an RTS framework.
This is a game about star-spanning empires that rise, stabilise and fall in the space of an afternoon and, particularly, about the moment when the vast capital ships of those empires emerge from hyperspace above half-burning worlds. Play the Rebellion expansion to enlarge said spaceships to ridiculous proportions. Diplomacy is an option too, of course, but also giant spaceships.
Stellaris takes an everything and the kicthen sink approach to the space 4X. It s got a dose of EU4, Paradox s grand strategy game, but applied to a sci-fi game that contains everything from robotic uprisings to aliens living in black holes. It arguably tries to do to much and lacks the focus of some of the other genre greats, but as a celebration of interstellar sci-fi there are none that come close.
It s a liberating sandbox designed to generate a cavalcade of stories as you guide your species and empire through the stars, meddling with their genetic code, enslaving aliens, or consuming the galaxy as a ravenous hive of cunning insects. Fantasy 4X Endless Legend is proof that you don t need to sacrifice story to make a compelling 4X game. Endless Legend. Each of its asymmetrical factions sports all sorts of unique and unusual traits, elevated by story quests featuring some of the best writing in any strategy game.
The Broken Lords, for instance, are vampiric ghosts living in suits of armour, wrestling with their dangerous nature; while the necrophage is a relentless force of nature that just wants to consume, ignoring diplomacy in favour of complete conquest. Including the expansions, there are 13 factions, each blessed or cursed iqoption gale their own strange quirks. Faction design doesn t get better than this. Alpha Centauri. Image credit Firaxis. Civ in space is a convenient shorthand for Alpha Centauri, but a bit reductive.
Brian Reynolds ambitious 4X journey took us to a mind-worm-infested world and ditched nation states and empires in favour of ideological factions who were adamant that they could guide humanity to its next evolution. Not even when Firaxis literally made a Civ in space, which wasn t very good. Alpha Centauri is as fascinating and weird now as it was back in 99, when iqoption gale were first getting our taste of nerve stapling naughty drones and getting into yet another war with Sister Miriam.
The techs, the conflicts, the characters it was unlike any of its contemporaries and, with only a few exceptions, nobody has really attempted to replicate it. Age of Wonders Planetfall. Image credit Age of Wonders. Pick an Age of Wonders and you really can t go wrong, and if sci-fi isn t your thing, absolutely give Age of Wonders 3 a try, but it s Age of Wonders Planetfall that s got us all hot and bothered at the moment. Set in a galaxy that s waking up after a long period of decline, you ve got to squabble over a lively world with a bunch of other ambitious factions that run the gamut from dinosaur-riding Amazons to psychic bugs.
The methodical empire building is a big improvement over its fantastical predecessors, benefiting from big changes to its structure and pace, but just as engaging are the turn-based tactical battles between highly customisable units. Stick lasers on giant lizards, give everyone jetpacks, and nurture your heroes like they re RPG protagonists there s so much fiddling to do, and it s all great.
Battlefleet Gothic Armada 2. Battlefleet Gothic Armada 2 s cosmic battles are spectacular. There s a trio of vaguely 4X-y campaigns following the three of the Warhammer 40K factions The Imperium, Necron Empire and the nasty Tyranid Hives, but you can ignore them if you want and just dive into some messy skirmishes full of spiky space cathedrals colliding with giant, tentacle-covered leviathans. The real-time tactical combat manages to be thrilling even when you re commanding the most sluggish of armadas.
You need to manage a whole fleet while broadside attacks pound your hulls, enemies start boarding and your own crews turn mutinous. And with all the tabletop factions present, you can experiment with countless fleet configurations and play with all sorts of weird weapons. Viking-themed RTS Northgard pays dues to Settlers and Age of Empires, but challenged us with its smart expansion systems that force you to plan your growth into new territories carefully.
Coments:07.01.2020 : 19:23 Vumi:
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Orthogonal Contrasts of Means in ANOVA. Further Readings Kachigan S.Multivariate Statistical Analysis A Conceptual IntroductionIqoption gale Press, iqoption gale.
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